Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#153
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#122
Pace59.4#335
Improvement-1.3#243

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#295
First Shot-0.3#175
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#350
Layup/Dunks-2.4#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#90
Freethrows+0.6#144
Improvement-2.5#300

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#49
First Shot+4.4#56
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#58
Layups/Dunks+3.6#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#302
Freethrows+4.1#9
Improvement+1.2#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2016 114   Arizona St. W 82-63 40%     1 - 0 +22.1 +10.6 +12.3
  Nov 18, 2016 60   Oklahoma W 73-67 OT 20%     2 - 0 +15.3 -0.2 +14.9
  Nov 20, 2016 41   Xavier L 59-67 16%     2 - 1 +3.4 -8.1 +11.2
  Nov 26, 2016 41   @ Xavier L 42-64 11%     2 - 2 -8.1 -17.3 +4.6
  Nov 30, 2016 109   George Mason L 50-54 49%     2 - 3 -3.1 -18.1 +14.6
  Dec 03, 2016 140   @ Wyoming L 73-81 37%     2 - 4 -4.1 -0.3 -3.4
  Dec 07, 2016 175   South Dakota St. W 86-58 63%     3 - 4 +25.1 +21.2 +8.3
  Dec 10, 2016 172   North Dakota W 78-70 63%     4 - 4 +5.3 +8.8 -3.2
  Dec 17, 2016 65   Iowa L 46-69 23%     4 - 5 -14.6 -20.1 +3.4
  Dec 21, 2016 3   @ North Carolina L 42-85 3%     4 - 6 -19.9 -17.0 -7.4
  Dec 28, 2016 130   Missouri St. L 64-68 55%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -4.8 -2.7 -2.6
  Jan 01, 2017 154   @ Evansville L 58-70 40%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -8.9 -13.3 +4.5
  Jan 04, 2017 102   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-77 28%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -4.3 +0.1 -5.0
  Jan 08, 2017 9   Wichita St. L 66-80 8%     4 - 10 0 - 4 +2.0 +5.6 -4.6
  Jan 11, 2017 199   @ Bradley L 61-72 51%     4 - 11 0 - 5 -10.6 -5.6 -5.7
  Jan 15, 2017 255   Drake W 79-60 79%     5 - 11 1 - 5 +11.0 +8.1 +4.7
  Jan 18, 2017 102   Loyola Chicago W 72-69 2OT 46%     6 - 11 2 - 5 +4.6 -7.8 +12.1
  Jan 21, 2017 144   @ Southern Illinois W 58-57 38%     7 - 11 3 - 5 +4.7 +4.7 +0.3
  Jan 25, 2017 154   Evansville W 61-54 60%     8 - 11 4 - 5 +5.0 -7.6 +13.2
  Jan 28, 2017 255   @ Drake W 71-63 63%     9 - 11 5 - 5 +5.1 -2.3 +7.6
  Feb 01, 2017 59   @ Illinois St. L 51-57 15%     9 - 12 5 - 6 +5.8 -3.3 +8.0
  Feb 04, 2017 191   Indiana St. W 65-60 67%     10 - 12 6 - 6 +1.0 +0.7 +0.8
  Feb 08, 2017 144   Southern Illinois W 49-41 58%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +6.6 -16.6 +24.5
  Feb 12, 2017 130   @ Missouri St. W 55-52 36%     12 - 12 8 - 6 +7.3 -8.7 +16.5
  Feb 15, 2017 199   Bradley W 64-61 69%     13 - 12 9 - 6 -1.7 +4.7 -5.7
  Feb 18, 2017 9   @ Wichita St. L 44-73 4%     13 - 13 9 - 7 -7.9 -12.4 +0.2
  Feb 22, 2017 191   @ Indiana St. L 59-69 48%     13 - 14 9 - 8 -9.0 -3.2 -7.1
  Feb 25, 2017 59   Illinois St. L 42-63 28%     13 - 15 9 - 9 -14.3 -8.8 -12.9
  Mar 03, 2017 130   Missouri St. L 64-70 45%     13 - 16 -4.2 -3.8 -1.0
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%